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  • 103 -2 (40) 2022 — Mukimov K.M., Nuzhdov G.S., — SIMULATION OF EPIDEMICS BASED ON THE TOPOLOGY OF DISASTER THEORY

103 -2 (40) 2022 — Mukimov K.M., Nuzhdov G.S., — SIMULATION OF EPIDEMICS BASED ON THE TOPOLOGY OF DISASTER THEORY

 SIMULATION OF EPIDEMICS BASED ON THE TOPOLOGY OF DISASTER THEORY

Mukimov K.M. Nanotechnology Development Center at the National University of Uzbekistan named after M. Ulugbek.

Nuzhdov G.S. Institute of Ion-Plasma and Laser Technologies of the Academy of Sciences of the Republic of Uzbekistan

Oxengendler B.L. Webster University, USA,

Ashirmetov A.Kh. Nanotechnology Development Center at the National University of Uzbekistan named after M. Ulugbek.

Iskandarova F.A. Nanotechnology Development Center at the National University of Uzbekistan named after M. Ulugbek.

Turaeva N.N. Webster University, USA,

Olimboev Zh.Sh. Tashkent Medical Academy  

Resume

A topological model is presented within the framework of the approach of the theory of catastrophes, designed to predict the spread of infectious diseases. Two approaches to the implementation of such modeling are described, using, on the one hand, data on the dynamics of the epidemic, and, on the other hand, catastrophe flags and the concept of control parameters, the change of which can regulate the nature of the dynamics of the epidemic.

Key words: epidemic modeling, catastrophe theory, control parameters, “catastrophe flags”.

First page

522

Last page

526

For citation: Mukimov K.M., Nuzhdov G.S., Oxengendler B.L., Ashirmetov A.Kh., Iskandarova F.A., Turaeva N.N., Olimboev Zh.Sh. SIMULATION OF EPIDEMICS BASED ON THE TOPOLOGY OF DISASTER THEORY //New Day in Medicine 2(40)2022 522-526 https://clck.ru/eYw5u

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